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Portage—Lisgar

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Coordinates: 49°40′01″N 98°18′18″W / 49.667°N 98.305°W / 49.667; -98.305
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Portage—Lisgar
Manitoba electoral district
Portage—Lisgar in relation to other Manitoba federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order.
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Branden Leslie
Conservative
District created1996
First contested1997
Last contested2023 by-election
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2021)[1]100,417
Electors (2021)68,241
Area (km²)[1]12,559.18
Pop. density (per km²)8
Census division(s)Division No. 3, Division No. 4, Division No. 8, Division No. 9, Division No. 10
Census subdivision(s)Altona, Carman, Cartier, Dakota Plains 6A, Dakota Tipi 1, Dufferin, Grey, Long Plain 6, Lorne, Macdonald, Morden, Morris (RM), Morris (town), Norfolk-Treherne, Pembina, Portage la Prairie (city), Portage la Prairie (RM), Rhineland, Roland, Stanley, St. François Xavier, Swan Lake 7, Thompson (RM), Winkler

Portage—Lisgar is a federal electoral district in Manitoba, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

Demographics

[edit]
Population, 2021 census[2] 100,417
Electors 68,241
Area (km2) 12,559.18
Population density (people per km2) 8
According to the 2021 Canadian census[3]

Ethnic groups: 82.3% White, 11.5% Indigenous, 2.2% Filipino, 1.5% South Asian
Languages: 70.5% English, 11.7% German, 7.7% Plautdietsch/Low German/Low Saxon, 3.5% French, 1.5% Russian, 1.2% Tagalog
Median income: $37,200 (2020)
Average income: $45,560 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Portage—Lisgar (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[4] 2016[5] 2011[6]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 77,810 82.3% 78,120 85.34% 75,645 88.41%
Indigenous 10,835 11.46% 10,475 11.44% 7,870 9.2%
Southeast Asian[b] 2,170 2.3% 975 1.07% 510 0.6%
South Asian 1,425 1.51% 555 0.61% 340 0.4%
African 750 0.79% 430 0.47% 435 0.51%
Latin American 605 0.64% 220 0.24% 245 0.29%
East Asian[c] 395 0.42% 390 0.43% 70 0.08%
Middle Eastern[d] 310 0.33% 235 0.26% 280 0.33%
Other/multiracial[e] 265 0.28% 155 0.17% 15 0.02%
Total responses 94,550 94.16% 91,545 94.03% 85,565 94.01%
Total population 100,417 100% 97,354 100% 91,019 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

According to the 2011 Census, Portage—Lisgar was the riding with the highest percentage of native German speakers (23.6% of the population at the time) in all of Canada.[7] Only Inuktitut (Nunavut: 66.8%) and Panjabi (Punjabi) (Newton—North Delta, in British Columbia: 33.4%) exceed this concentration of native speakers of a non-official language in a single riding.

Geography

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This is a rural district that encompasses most of Central Manitoba. It includes the cities of Portage la Prairie, Winkler, and Morden, and the towns of Carman, Morris and Altona.

As a rural Western riding, the Conservatives dominate this riding, except for in First Nations areas. In 2021, due to opposition to COVID-19 restrictions, the People's Party broke through and were able to do strongly in areas with large Mennonite populations like the Rural Municipality of Stanley, the Municipality of Rhineland and Winkler, municipalities that went heavily Conservative in 2019. Because of this shift in 2021, the Conservatives did best in rural areas with fewer Mennonites, such as the Municipality of Norfolk Treherne. In 2021, the NDP was able to win both the Swan Lake First Nation and Long Plain First Nation. The Liberals are also strong in the Long Plain First Nation, which they won in 2019, and also have some residual strength in the Rural Municipality of St. François Xavier.

History

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The electoral district was created in 1996 from the former districts of Lisgar—Marquette and Portage—Interlake. It originally consisted of the rural municipalities of Argyle, Cartier, Dufferin, Grey, Lakeview, Lorne, Louise, Macdonald, North Cypress, North Norfolk, Pembina, Portage la Prairie (except for the northeast corner), Roblin, Roland, South Norfolk, Stanley, Thompson, Victoria and Westbourne; the cities of Portage la Prairie and Winkler; the towns of Carberry, Carman, Gladstone, Manitou, Morden, Pilot Mound, and Treherne; the villages of Cartwright, Crystal City, MacGregor, Notre Dame de Lourdes, Somerset, and St. Claude; and the Indian reserves of Dakota Plains 6A, Long Plain 6, and Swan Lake 7.

In the 2003 redistribution, it lost the rural municipalities of Lakeview and Westbourne and the town of Gladstone to Dauphin—Swan River; and the rural municipalities of Argyle, North Cypress and Roblin, the town of Carberry, and the village of Cartwright to the riding of Brandon—Souris. It gained the rural municipalities of Rhineland and St. François Xavier; and the towns of Altona, Gretna and Plum Coulee from Provencher.

In the 2012 electoral redistribution, this riding lost the rural municipality of North Norfolk and the town of MacGregor to Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa and the rural municipalities of Victoria, and Louise and the town of Pilot Mound and the village of Crystal City to Brandon—Souris. It gained the rural municipality and the town of Morris from Provencher and remainder of the rural municipality of Portage la Prairie from Selkirk—Interlake.

Members of Parliament

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This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Portage—Lisgar
Riding created from Lisgar—Marquette, and Portage—Interlake
36th  1997–2000     Jake Hoeppner Reform
 2000–2000     Alliance
37th  2000–2003 Brian Pallister
 2003–2004     Conservative
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011 Candice Bergen
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–2023
 2023–present Branden Leslie

Current member of Parliament

[edit]

Its most recent member of Parliament was Candice Bergen, who resigned on February 1, 2023. She was first elected in the 2008 Canadian federal election.

Election results

[edit]
Graph of election results in Portage—Lisgar (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
Canadian federal by-election, June 19, 2023
Resignation of Candice Bergen
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Branden Leslie 20,250 64.95 +12.43
People's Max Bernier 5,352 17.16 −4.42
Liberal Kerry Smith 2,666 8.55 −2.40
New Democratic Lisa Tessier-Burch 2,208 7.08 −6.30
Green Nicolas Geddert 704 2.26 –
Total valid votes 31,180 99.40
Total rejected ballots 188 0.60 −0.15
Turnout 31,368 45.47 −20.77
Eligible voters 68,988
Conservative hold Swing +8.42
Source: Elections Canada[8]
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Candice Bergen 23,819 52.52 –18.28 $75,005.66
People's Solomon Wiebe 9,790 21.58 +18.97 $12,104.29
New Democratic Ken Friesen 6,068 13.38 +4.70 $2,822.40
Liberal Andrew Carrier 4,967 10.95 +0.24 $14,348.06
Christian Heritage Jerome Dondo 712 1.57 –0.36 $7,509.16
Total valid votes/expense limit 45,356 99.25 – $111,667.24
Total rejected ballots 341 0.75 +0.13
Turnout 45,697 66.24 –0.40
Eligible voters 68,991
Conservative hold Swing –18.62
Source: Elections Canada[9]
2021 federal election redistributed results[10]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 22,445 52.15
  People's 9,418 21.88
  New Democratic 5,778 13.42
  Liberal 4,720 10.97
  Others 681 1.58
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Candice Bergen 31,600 70.79 +9.95 $60,166.75
Liberal Ken Werbiski 4,779 10.71 −15.08 $18,673.74
New Democratic Cindy Friesen 3,872 8.67 +2.47 $0.00
Green Beverley Eert 2,356 5.28 +1.30 $6,945.06
People's Aaron Archer 1,169 2.62 $1,048.91
Christian Heritage Jerome Dondo 860 1.93 −1.27 $21,830.60
Total valid votes/expense limit 44,636 99.39
Total rejected ballots 275 0.61 +0.23
Turnout 44,911 68.64 +1.19
Eligible voters 67,397
Conservative hold Swing +12.52
Source: Elections Canada[11][12]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Candice Bergen 25,060 60.84 −14.95 $91,365.21
Liberal Ken Werbiski 10,621 25.79 +19.81 $12,481.25
New Democratic Dean Harder 2,554 6.20 −4.01 $7,315.22
Green Bev Eert 1,637 3.97 −1.67 $7,832.39
Christian Heritage Jerome Dondo 1,315 3.19 $20,134.89
Total valid votes/expense limit 41,187 99.62   $208,924.52
Total rejected ballots 159 0.38 –
Turnout 41,346 65.44 –
Eligible voters 63,180
Conservative hold Swing −17.38
Source: Elections Canada[13][14]

^ Change is from redistributed results

2011 federal election redistributed results[15]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 25,738 75.79
  New Democratic 3,467 10.21
  Liberal 2,031 5.98
  Green 1,916 5.64
  Others 807 2.38
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Candice Hoeppner 26,899 75.99 +7.72 –
New Democratic Mohamed Alli 3,478 9.83 +2.54 –
Liberal MJ Willard 2,221 6.27 −7.28 –
Green Matthew Friesen 1,996 5.64 −2.43 –
Christian Heritage Jerome Dondo 805 2.27 −0.55 –
Total valid votes/expense limit 35,399 99.59   –
Total rejected ballots 147 0.41 +0.06
Turnout 35,546 59.44 +5.67
Eligible voters 59,799 – –
Conservative hold Swing +2.59


2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Candice Hoeppner 22,036 68.27 −1.52 $57,186
Liberal Ted Klassen 4,374 13.55 +2.16 $19,807
Green Charlie Howatt 2,606 8.07 +2.97 $3,649
New Democratic Mohamed Alli 2,353 7.29 −3.76 $2,873
Christian Heritage Len Lodder 911 2.82 +0.14 $8,429
Total valid votes/expense limit 32,280 99.64   $83,296
Total rejected ballots 116 0.36 +0.03
Turnout 32,396 53.77 –7.89
Eligible voters 60,246 – –
Conservative hold Swing −1.84
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Brian Pallister 25,719 69.78 +3.85 $44,321.83
Liberal Garry McLean 4,199 11.39 −6.35 $13,875.88
New Democratic Daren Van Den Bussche 4,072 11.05 +1.70 $2,450.07
Green Charlie Howatt 1,880 5.10 +2.64 $4,073.82
Christian Heritage David Reimer 987 2.68 −1.51 $9,372.57
Total valid votes 36,857 99.67  
Total rejected ballots 123 0.33 −0.09
Turnout 36,890 61.66 +4.31
Eligible voters 59,970 – –
Conservative hold Swing +5.10
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Brian Pallister 22,939 65.93 −0.02 $55,524.92
Liberal Don Kuhl 6,174 17.74 −1.75 $70,773.27
New Democratic Daren Van Den Bussche 3,251 9.34 +3.89 $13,159.49
Christian Heritage David Reimer 1,458 4.19 $12,986.64
Green Marc Payette 856 2.46 $649.69
Communist Allister Cucksey 117 0.34 $741.52
Total valid votes 34,795 99.58  
Total rejected ballots 146 0.42
Turnout 34,941 57.35
Eligible voters 60,922 – –
Conservative notional hold Swing +0.87
Percentage change figures are compared to redistributed results from 2000. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages.
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.
2000 federal election redistributed results[16]
Party Vote %
  Canadian Alliance 17,680 51.63
  Liberal 6,676 19.50
  Progressive Conservative 4,902 14.32
  Independents 3,118 9.11
  New Democratic 1,866 5.45
2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Alliance Brian Pallister 17,318 50.31 +10.07 $44,417.63
Liberal Gerry J.E. Gebler 6,133 17.82 +3.21 $44,267.57
Progressive Conservative Morley McDonald 5,339 15.51 −20.42 $16,872.28
Independent Jake Hoeppner 3,558 10.34 $40,395.49
New Democratic Diane Beresford 2,073 6.02 −1.17 $3,880.73
Total valid votes 34,421 99.71  
Total rejected ballots 101 0.29 −0.15
Turnout 34,522 61.56 +0.93
Eligible voters 56,082 – –
Alliance hold Swing +3.43
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada, Official Voting Results and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

^ Canadian Alliance results compared to Reform

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % Expenditures
Reform Jake Hoeppner 13,532 40.25 $55,221
Progressive Conservative Brian Pallister 12,083 35.94 $52,473
Liberal Heather Mack 4,913 14.61 $14,412
New Democratic Glen Hallick 2,420 7.20 $9,391
Christian Heritage Martin Dewit 517 1.54 $2,674
Canadian Action Roy Lyall 159 0.47 $1,210
Total valid votes 33,624 99.56
Total rejected ballots 149 0.44
Turnout 33,773 60.63
Eligible voters 55,706 –
Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada, Official Voting Results and Financial Returns, Elections Canada.

See also

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References

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  • "Portage—Lisgar (Code 46007) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  • Riding history for Portage—Lisgar (1996– ) from the Library of Parliament
  • Expenditure – 2008
  • Expenditures – 2004
  • Expenditures – 2000
  • Expenditures – 1997
  • 2008 Results

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada: 2023
  2. ^ "Census Profile, 2021 Census: Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district], Manitoba". Statistics Canada. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 1, 2023). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Portage--Lisgar [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  6. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 22, 2023.
  7. ^ "2011 Census of Canada: Topic-based tabulations | Detailed Mother Tongue (232), Knowledge of Official Languages (5), Age Groups (17A) and Sex (3) for the Population Excluding Institutional Residents of Canada, Provinces, Territories and Federal Electoral Districts (2003 Representation Order), 2011 Census". 2.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved November 16, 2012.
  8. ^ "June 19, 2023, by-elections—Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  9. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  10. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  11. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  12. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
  13. ^ Official Voting Results
  14. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  15. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
  16. ^ Election Prediction Project

49°40′01″N 98°18′18″W / 49.667°N 98.305°W / 49.667; -98.305

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